Goal and touch totals are important, but not as important as market share. The “target” is mostly a receiver state (although there are some notable early exceptions). Touch is the gesture of running back.Thank you for reading this post, don't forget to subscribe!
What we’re doing is really simple. For pass-catchers, market share is given by targets divided by team pass attempts. For running backs, this is touches divided by team plays from scrimmage (to be clear, not team touches).
Snap count and target depth and type of touches (running back receptions are far more valuable than RB carries) are also important but generally will not be discussed here. This is net market share. Consider it a primary tool for assessing discounts and trades.
Here is the list. Be sure to select the current week but all weeks of the season will be stored so you can get a multi-week sample on a player if you want. As the season progresses, also note that I have put a lot of thought into calculating these stats weekly, not just for the season. The objective here is to respond quickly to current trends. Annual statistics settle everything into a more meaningless middle. Remember, as our Gene McCaffrey so wisely says, “To be very right, you have to be willing to be very wrong.”
it’s a big story imari demercado (Cardinals) With James Connor a candidate for IR. I am not activating the FAAB model here. I don’t know to what extent Keyonte Ingram will be used, although Ingram was inactive last week. The team also signed Tony Jones Jr. I’m about 20% of FAAB on Demarcardo, who only had a practice squad draft grade and is super old (24) for a rookie. We don’t really care about talent at RB – I always preach it’s more about opportunity. But this seems subjectively blurry to me. In fact, up to 60% of the bid is defendable.
I spoke Jordan Mason To save pocket money during summer. But it is impossible to hold such a person for five weeks due to injuries and injuries. She should have been included last week when Eliza Mitchell was eliminated. Mason is better than Mitchell and a better complement to McCaffrey as a power runner. But of course, that’s just my opinion. I think the FAAB range for Mason is 10 to 20%.
Breece Hall Finished at No. 2 and will be considered a top 10 RB going forward. I thought he was a poor pick in the top 30 because medical data says that RBs who recover from ACL injuries (and it’s only 70%) eventually drop down a level in ability. So what Hall has done by coming back to this level of efficiency in under a year shows that he was an All-Pro level talent early on and there’s no way we can know that for sure. It also shows that he has great healing abilities – also unknown. It is still unknown whether it can handle 30% market share. When he’s on the field his usage is insane (still about 50% of snaps).
travis etienne This is a subpar RB1 with no guarantees at the goal line. Remember, this model ignores the Jaguars’ ridiculous 82 plays. He was fifth in share of plays.
tyler alger super touchy bijan robinson Cannot be done. this is absurd. But here we are with billionaire Arthur Smith’s son.
I can’t be bothered to look at it, but whoever came to me for mentioning Jeff Wilson Jr. Every week, reveal yourself! so. You wanted him for nothing and now he’s going to owe you at least half of his FAAB, considering D’Von Achane (knee) is a candidate for IR. If Wilson is gone, and remember he is expected to only have his window open for practice this week (not necessarily active this week), then put Salvon Ahmed On the same block for about 10% of FAAB. All of these undersized Dolphins RBs are massive injury risks.
If Jaleel McLaughlin While still there, his value is down from last week, given that Javonte Williams is likely returning after missing practice last week. But we won’t know until Wednesday. McLaughlin is good and his usage is great. note that samaje perrin Had twice the snaps and looked good but had less touches.
I don’t know the Saquon Barkley situation. But eric gray If he is out a RB will need to be added to the roster. However there won’t be enough clarity on Barkley to make more than a cursory bid on Gray.
Ramondre Stevenson The model featured the RB31 and that’s where I’ll rank it this week. Life comes at you fast.
Cam Acres,Alexander Mattison, I believe the Vikings must have liked Akers to some extent. If he’s there it’s not terrible to add him at a discount. Akers was a poor option for ADP given his Achilles injury and is still unlikely to do much, but now we’re talking about waivers, where the glass is always half full – so the math changes. .
Chuba Hubbard out-touched and out-snapped miles sanders, who was in the dog house for groping. If the price is right (10%) I can defend adding Hubbard even on this bad offense.
Khalil Herbert is out and Roshon Johnson is dealing with an injury and is questionable D’onta foreman (inactive last week) or pure blasingme This makes sense for peanuts.
darren waller Is the No. 1 TE but Daniel Jones may be out and Tyrod Taylor is worse than Jones and likes to get sacked even more than Jones. I would trade Waller.
jaylen waddle Being at number 4 is encouraging for his managers. Although he was very unskilled. We’ve been waiting for his second-round ADP to add a nice target share with 2022 efficiency and it hasn’t happened yet. We are in the sixth week.
all systems are up Cooper Kupp (Fifth).
Jakobi Meyers (6th) Should start in the flex 10 (three WRs and one flex format).
We now have to respect the statistics adam thielen (Seventh). Play man.
Marquis Brown (ninth) is definitely the WR2.
Dalton Schultz TE3 was in market share. I am not raising questions on this. Just add it. Adding Schultz off waivers and trading Waller, if you have it, is a baller move.
alan robinson (16th) is feasible even if it does nothing. Pittsburgh crime is a joke. But that’s a discount and with goals comes possibility. Diontae Johnson will likely come off IR soon (eligible this week), so take Robinson for only $0.
Christian Watson (29th) is a downfield receiver for a QB who can’t currently throw downfield efficiently. I will do business with him. but this is shocking romeo doubs Didn’t do anything against a poor Raiders pass defense. Watson had 180 air yards to Doubs, but at least to date those are essentially prayer yards due to Jordan Love tossing them.
i am doing business calvin ridley (T-31st with two Jaguars). Where is the market share? He’s definitely an asset, don’t get me wrong, but the market thinks he’s a WR1 when in reality he’s a low-end WR2. You have to take advantage of it.
Jacksonville has similar commanders in evenly allocating targets, who didn’t have any receivers chart well – Curtis Samuel (65th) ranked highest among its starting three.
Look, devonta smith (70th) is a great player. But he has a No. 2 receiver thanks to a huge talent in AJ Brown and one of the best receiving TEs in Dallas Goedert. It needs efficiency on a large scale. He’ll have his weeks but just as many weeks he’ll be mostly invisible. You have to look in the mirror to pick a No. 2 receiver in the second round in an offense with low passing volume.
Rashi Rice (71st)? What a strange player. He ran 10 routes and had five targets. If you want so much usage from a player, why isn’t he running more routes? I wouldn’t put Rice in a top 40 WR just yet, not even close. But I would like to have him on my roster for December (not that it’s a sure thing, but it’s better).
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